Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 3.412788 3.615585 3.832119 4.081947 4.364073 4.675043 5.046903
2025-06-15 3.119068 3.392931 3.700822 4.077423 4.532671 5.075085 5.786563
2025-06-22 2.837076 3.143804 3.501596 3.958798 4.541964 5.283683 6.341650
2025-06-29 2.592374 2.911663 3.294426 3.800211 4.473613 5.378434 6.770151
2025-07-06 2.425348 2.757017 3.164557 3.720117 4.490950 5.585596 7.411694
2025-07-13 2.366930 2.729803 3.189314 3.840734 4.794698 6.256982 9.013017
2025-07-20 2.287755 2.668603 3.162568 3.885693 4.994691 6.816736 10.698653
2025-07-27 2.261322 2.672545 3.221071 4.055782 5.412466 7.859345 14.144487
2025-08-03 2.214071 2.644207 3.231123 4.153574 5.730730 8.835263 18.633832
2025-08-10 2.129294 2.558750 3.152736 4.104907 5.785800 9.294320 22.297594
2025-08-17 2.017421 2.429888 3.003269 3.929276 5.584190 9.119820 23.176440
2025-08-24 1.942035 2.348387 2.918241 3.850612 5.553590 9.349358 26.696690
2025-08-31 1.871929 2.277154 2.853011 3.814200 5.630832 9.971356 35.984597
2025-09-07 1.818235 2.226816 2.816288 3.823275 5.805897 10.982157 60.696976
2025-09-14 1.743250 2.142406 2.722805 3.726435 5.746465 11.293731 89.999142
2025-09-21 1.664724 2.049656 2.611700 3.589936 5.582490 11.211149 118.407968
2025-09-28 1.607532 1.985688 2.541926 3.521408 5.560219 11.633278 300.737789
2025-10-05 1.594037 1.984917 2.570536 3.632661 5.972393 14.074118 NaN
2025-10-12 1.566754 1.962150 2.562408 3.674933 6.234125 16.315384 NaN
2025-10-19 1.562512 1.973517 2.609916 3.829187 6.835209 21.889085 NaN
2025-10-26 1.545767 1.964792 2.623351 3.917844 7.294417 28.754541 NaN
2025-11-02 1.507533 1.921171 2.575262 3.874814 7.348057 32.229621 NaN
2025-11-09 1.452275 1.849326 2.476041 3.717230 7.010322 29.738284 NaN